Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000934 0.001072 0.001211 0.001360 0.001516 0.001673 0.001844
2026-01-04 0.000724 0.000922 0.001128 0.001356 0.001599 0.001850 0.002126
2026-01-11 0.000549 0.000787 0.001045 0.001337 0.001656 0.001990 0.002361
2026-01-18 0.000410 0.000676 0.000975 0.001324 0.001711 0.002121 0.002584
2026-01-25 0.000269 0.000543 0.000869 0.001260 0.001703 0.002180 0.002723
2026-02-01 0.000175 0.000453 0.000802 0.001234 0.001732 0.002274 0.002896
2026-02-08 0.000113 0.000392 0.000764 0.001236 0.001788 0.002395 0.003096
2026-02-15 0.000069 0.000345 0.000738 0.001249 0.001854 0.002524 0.003302
2026-02-22 0.000039 0.000310 0.000724 0.001273 0.001930 0.002662 0.003516
2026-03-01 0.000010 0.000260 0.000684 0.001263 0.001964 0.002751 0.003674
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000204 0.000630 0.001230 0.001970 0.002805 0.003791
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000175 0.000609 0.001239 0.002022 0.002912 0.003964
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000117 0.000548 0.001207 0.002043 0.003001 0.004143
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000080 0.000514 0.001209 0.002104 0.003140 0.004379
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000045 0.000469 0.001194 0.002145 0.003255 0.004588
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000019 0.000430 0.001184 0.002190 0.003373 0.004801
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000360 0.001124 0.002170 0.003413 0.004924
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000318 0.001100 0.002193 0.003503 0.005101
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000295 0.001102 0.002248 0.003629 0.005320
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000279 0.001115 0.002316 0.003770 0.005554
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000271 0.001138 0.002396 0.003925 0.005803
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000244 0.001129 0.002432 0.004025 0.005988
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000208 0.001098 0.002438 0.004087 0.006128